Psychology of Baseball Betting: How Emotions Influence Wagers

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The market size of the sports betting industry has been making great strides in recent years, reaching a total value of more than $190 billion. The number of online sports bettors has also been on the increase. In the U.S. alone, there were about 19 million of them in 2022.

We all know how tempting it is to bet, especially on your favorite team. But we also know that many emotions are involved, and they influence wagers in many different ways. Let’s dig into the ways in which psychological and emotional factors affect the decisions wagers make when making their bets.

Emotions at play

It is hard to imagine a sports activity without emotions involved. They often drive the way in which both players and fans behave. We support teams because we are emotionally attached to them. Emotions drive people’s betting decisions when it comes to baseball betting.

We might or might not have a clear understanding but emotions, not rational thinking, are what often drive our decisions when we make bets. Many gamblers rightfully decide to go through reliable BestCasinoPlay reviews to identify trustworthy $1 casinos. These reviews provide evidence-based assessments of all pros and cons. They also help customers make balanced decisions.

Confirmation bias

Confirmation bias is a form of cognitive bias. Like all other cognitive biases, confirmation bias is important in shaping our betting choices and decisions. We draw on our confirmation bias to reaffirm our pre-existing perceptions and stereotypes.

This is a dangerous road to take because it hampers our ability to see and analyze facts and figures. That is why many baseball fans ignore statistics and rely on their betting decisions on their unsubstantiated ideas or hopes. 

Sunk-cost fallacy

Sunk-cost fallacy refers to a person’s reluctance to give up a loss-making course of action because a lot of investment has already been made. Thus, the decision to bet more is falsely justified by the amount that has already been betted and lost.

Instead of abandoning further betting, the individual suffering from this prejudice keeps going, hoping to recuperate all the losses made. More often than not, this kind of stubbornness results in greater losses and little or no consolation.

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Loss aversion

It is scientifically proven that losses have a greater emotional effect on some people than wins. This induced people to keep betting to come out as a winner eventually. Baseball betting can thus become a trap, which becomes impossible to escape.

Hot streaks

Sometimes baseball teams enjoy hot streaks, i.e., a series of successful games. This leads wagers to believe that the steak will continue for much longer than it normally does. The downside is that they keep increasing their bets and eventually lose all the main wins in previous rounds.

Home field advantage

Many gamblers erroneously believe that baseball teams are more likely to win their home games. So, they automatically bet on their favorite teams to win all their home games. Again, this is a desirable rather than fact-based decision, often leading to money loss.

As it happens, when people start betting, they don’t think about losing money. They subliminally hope that they will win. Many start making premature plans to use imaginary winnings. Emotions drive the betting decisions of many people involved in baseball betting. Understanding all the risks and challenges involved is important as making decisions based on rational thinking and sound analyses.


Charlie Martin is an accomplished writer, blogger, and gambling industry expert. He also holds a university degree in behavioral science. He knows a thing or two about why and how people make decisions about betting and gambling. Follow Charlie to learn more about the factors that might influence you one day.

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